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2024 Election Recap

Reviewing the results, and the next steps, of this year’s election
The 2024 Electoral College results
The 2024 Electoral College results
From Wikipedia

In case you didn’t know from every TV ad over the past three months, the 2024 U.S. elections took place on Tuesday, November 5th. While some ballots are still being counted—primarily mail-in, military, overseas, and provisional ballots—projections are now available for every Presidential, Senate, and House race. It’s worth noting these are not final tallies, as recounts often occur in close races, but the outcomes are unlikely to change. Here’s a breakdown of the results, nationally and in Wisconsin.

President

Former President Donald Trump won re-election to a second non-consecutive term, becoming the first person since Grover Cleveland to achieve this historic feat. He is projected to win the Electoral College with 312 votes to Vice President Kamala Harris’s 226. Notably, Trump is also the first Republican nominee since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the national popular vote, currently leading by about 1.6%. This represents a significant nationwide shift to the right—about 6 percentage points—compared to President Biden’s 4.5% popular vote win in 2020.

Trump swept all seven battleground states, including Wisconsin, winning each by more than one percentage point. He will be inaugurated on January 20th at noon, alongside Vice President-elect JD Vance, the Senator from Ohio. Interestingly, Wisconsin’s Door County lost its status as a bellwether this year, narrowly voting for Harris despite her overall loss. Door County had previously backed the winner in every election since 2000.

Senate

Republicans saw major victories in U.S. Senate races, flipping four key seats—in West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Montana, and Ohio—to gain control of the chamber with a 53-47 majority. Senator Tammy Baldwin retained her seat in Wisconsin, while Democrats held on in other tight contests in Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona, despite Harris losing in those states. Republicans also elected Sen. John Thune of South Dakota as their new Majority Leader, replacing long-time leader Sen. Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.

House

House Republicans narrowly held onto their majority from the 2022 midterms, maintaining control with a projected 220-215 split, giving them a slim five-seat majority. Despite poor results elsewhere, Democrats gained two seats in the House. Here in Wisconsin, Representative Mark Pocan (D) was re-elected in the 2nd District.

What’s Next

While there are no major elections until this spring—including local contests in Wisconsin—several key events are on the horizon:

December: The Electoral College will formally meet to cast votes for their state’s winner.

January 3rd: The 119th Congress will convene, and members will be sworn in.

January 6th: Congress will certify the results of the Presidential election.

January 20th: Donald Trump and JD Vance will be inaugurated as President and Vice President.

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